By The Closing Line · Trade Example #7 · October 20, 2026
✅ Won +$12.21 (+13.9%)
Saw Level 4 smart money on the under in Celtics vs. Pistons. Followed it, on the safe side. Won.
The read
The only smart money in this game's totals was a Level 4 trader with $4,079 on NO for "Over 226.5 points", bought at an average of 63.6¢: a bet that Boston and Detroit would combine for 226 or fewer. Kalshi's own forecast sat around 222.
The trade
We followed the read with more cushion: 100 NO on "Over 234.5 points" at 87.79¢ (87¢ plus Kalshi's taker fee). The smart money needed 226 or fewer. Our position won on anything up to 234.
| Smart money | Our trade | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | NO on Over 226.5 | NO on Over 234.5 |
| Wins if the total is | 226 or fewer | 234 or fewer |
| Entry | 63.6¢ | 87.79¢ |
The result
The game stayed under 234.5.
| In | Out | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| $87.79 | $100.00 | +$12.21 (+13.9%) |
It's on the Track Record with every other trade, wins and losses alike.
Verify it: posted on our Kalshi profile, TheClosingLine.
A real position held by our founder, shared to show how we use our tools. Not a recommendation. For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice.