By The Closing Line · Trade Example #5 · October 18, 2026
✅ Won +$11.22 (+5.9%)
Saw Level 4 smart money on NO for Connor Heyward scoring in Bills vs. Raiders. Followed it. Won.
The read
The largest position on any touchdown market in this game belonged to a Level 4 trader: $29,610 on NO for Raiders tight end Connor Heyward scoring, bought at an average of 94¢. No other smart money was on Heyward's market, on either side.
The trade
Heyward's market only has 1+, so we took the same side at the same price: 200 NO on "Connor Heyward: 1+" at 94.39¢ (94¢ plus Kalshi's taker fee).
| Smart money | Our trade | |
|---|---|---|
| Market | NO on Heyward 1+ TD | NO on Heyward 1+ TD |
| Entry | 94¢ | 94.39¢ (incl. fee) |
Kalshi charges makers nothing on touchdown markets, so a limit order at 94¢ would have saved the $0.79 fee.
The result
Heyward didn't score.
| In | Out | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| $188.78 | $200.00 | +$11.22 (+5.9%) |
It's on the Track Record with every other trade, wins and losses alike.
Verify it: posted on our Kalshi profile, TheClosingLine.
A real position held by our founder, shared to show how we use our tools. Not a recommendation. For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice.